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  • Writer's pictureAvi Shaposhnik

A Refinery Outage Has Triggered an Increase in Mid West Petroleum Prices - February 2024

As reported by EIA, the recent unplanned outage at bp’s refinery in Whiting, Indiana, has triggered a notable increase in spot petroleum product prices at the Chicago trading hub. This refinery, with a capacity of 435,000 barrels per day, is the largest in the Midwest (PADD 2) and has been offline since February 1 due to a power outage. While inventories of motor gasoline and distillate fuel in the Midwest are higher than average for this time of year, the outage's duration and subsequent effects on product availability and pricing remain uncertain.


  • The outage at BP’s Whiting refinery, due to power outages, caused a notable price increase in Chicago's petroleum products.

  • Chicago and Mid West's petroleum product prices surged more compared to the Gulf Coast, narrowing historical price gaps.


Petroleum
Petroleum

Chicago petroleum product prices, particularly for CBOB (a petroleum gasoline stock), have seen more significant increases compared to the U.S. Gulf Coast (PADD 3) following the outage. This surge in prices extends to other refinery products such as ultra-low sulfur diesel and jet fuel. Historically, Chicago prices have sold at a slight discount to those on the Gulf Coast due to the Midwest's balanced production and consumption dynamics. However, the outage has narrowed this discount, bringing Chicago prices more in line with historical trends.


Despite the Midwest typically producing enough petroleum products to meet regional demand and even exporting to other states, refinery outages tend to drive regional prices higher as products are sourced from alternative regions like the Gulf Coast. With the U.S. Gulf Coast housing over 50% of the country's refinery capacity and maintaining surplus fuel production, it serves as a crucial supplier during such disruptions. In 2023, significant volumes of motor gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel flowed from the Gulf Coast to the Midwest, highlighting the interdependence between these key refining regions.


The volatility induced by refinery outages underscores the importance of effective risk management strategies for businesses reliant on petroleum products. Hedgify's platform provides businesses with the means to mitigate the impact of such disruptions by locking in favorable prices for key commodities like petroleum products. By offering seamless hedging solutions, Hedgify empowers businesses to navigate market uncertainties with confidence, ensuring stability in procurement costs and safeguarding against unexpected price fluctuations.


The information provided in this market insight is for general informational purposes and should not be considered as financial advice. It is not intended to offer any financial recommendations or endorsements. Any decisions made based on the content are the sole responsibility of the reader.

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