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  • Writer's pictureAvi Shaposhnik

Soybean is Experiencing an Increased Global Ending Stocks - February 2024

Updated: Feb 9

The February 8, 2024 WASDE report released by the USDA provides valuable insights into the 2023/24 U.S. soybean market and global soybean production trends.


  • Soybean U.S. exports forecasted at 1.72 billion bushels, down 35 million, leading to higher ending stocks of 315 million bushels, up 35 million.

  • Higher beginning stocks and lower production result in increased global ending stocks at 116.0 million tons, with Brazil's 2023/24 crop reduced by adverse weather conditions.

  • Global soybean exports for 2023/24 decrease to 170.6 million tons, with lower shipments from the US, countered by higher exports from Brazil, while imports decrease for Vietnam.


Stock and Supply in the US: The outlook for 2023/24 U.S. soybeans indicates lower exports and higher ending stocks. Soybean exports are forecasted at 1.72 billion bushels, down by 35 million from the previous month, attributed to sluggish shipments and fierce competition with Brazil. Ending stocks are projected at 315 million bushels, up by 35 million.


Soybean
Soybean

Global 2023/24 soybean supply and demand forecasts reveal higher beginning stocks, lower production, reduced exports, and increased ending stocks compared to the previous month. Brazil's 2022/23 production sees an increase, but its 2023/24 crop is reduced due to adverse weather conditions, contributing to lower global exports. Global soybean ending stocks rise, primarily driven by higher stocks in the United States and Brazil.


Global soybean exports for 2023/24 are decreased due to lower shipments from the United States, offset partially by higher exports from Brazil. Import reductions are observed for Vietnam, impacting global trade dynamics amidst shifting production and demand patterns.


The current soybean market presents challenges with lower exports and increased ending stocks in the United States, while global dynamics reflect reduced production and trade disruptions. These factors underscore the importance of proactive risk management strategies for businesses operating in the soybean sector.

 

In response to the insights unveiled by the WASDE report, businesses engaged in soybean-related industries are facing heightened uncertainty concerning market volatility and trade disruptions. Hedgify stands ready to assist, offering a strategic solution that empowers businesses to mitigate such uncertainties through effective hedging strategies. By leveraging Hedgify's platform to secure key commodity prices, including soybeans, businesses can proactively manage risks associated with fluctuating market conditions, ensuring resilience and continuity in their operations.


The information provided in this market insight is for general informational purposes and should not be considered as financial advice. It is not intended to offer any financial recommendations or endorsements. Any decisions made based on the content are the sole responsibility of the reader.

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